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imsfx > Intel > UK House Prices will fall as Outlook is Bleak

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UK House Prices will fall as Outlook is Bleak

By Barbara Rockefeller of IMS Foreign Exchange

Moody’s downgraded 9 building societies (mortgage lenders), saying it was based on
stress-testing scenarios that incorporated a peak-to-trough decline in house prices of 40%. Holy cow.
Also in the UK, the British Retail Consortium reported like-for-like retail sales down 1.2% y/y in March
and a rise of only 0.6% y/y. The BRC blames the timing of Easter for some of it. For Q1, like-for-like sales
were down only 0.7% y/y but total sales were up 1.2%, which shows less than total demand destruction,
says Market News. We say such an interpretation is clutching at straws.


Contributor's Note

Sterling may benefit from no more bad news

Contributed by imsfx on April 21, 2009, at 2:57 PM UTC.

PLEASE VISIT THE CONTRIBUTOR'S WEBSITE
IMS Foreign Exchange
Foreign Exchange Brokers
www.imsfx.co.uk

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